We only have four games for Monday night. Fortunately, there is still value to have.
Let’s dive into some of my favorite plays because we want to start the week with a great sound.
Coyotes (+295) @ Blues (-375)
The Blues come from a dramatic road victory over the flames. They should have no problem continuing at home in front of the low-power coyotes where they left off.
Arizona is currently playing terrific hockey. In the last 10 games, they have controlled only 38.42% of the expected goals and have surpassed them by five to five points with the result of 1928-25. Opponents walk across them.
I expect the Blues to make an early leap in this game. They have been a strong team in the first season this season and have scored 63 goals so far. This is more than storms, penguins and rangers.
Arizona, on the other hand, has typically had catastrophic beginnings. The Coyotes have conceded 69 goals in the opening round. Only four teams are allowed.
Now they see themselves in the second half of a row behind a good team and will have Ivan Prosotov between the two teams. In the AHL consecutive seasons, he recorded a much lower reserve percentage of 0.900. With such numbers in the AHL, it is difficult to imagine his success at the NHL level.
I expect the Blues to jump off a bad and tired team with an early victory. Supporting St. Louis to win the opening frame is where I see the most value.
Condition: The first period of the Blues -0.5 (-115)
Maple Leafs (+115) @ Lightning (-140)
Maple Leafs is in a great position to enter this game. They have won four consecutive games – all with at least two goals – and have lost tough competitions at the time, including to the Bruins and Panthers.
The underlying figures suggest that their 7-3 performance is decent. They controlled 56.41% of the expected goals in the five-on-five game during this period. That puts them in sixth place in the NHL – ahead of the Penguins, Avalanches, and yes, Lightning.
Despite all the talk about Toronto “defense issues”, it’s a very effective defense game. In the last 10 games, Bergha has lost only 2.22 goals per 60 goals, which is good for the third place.
If their goalkeeping was a little better, we would probably be talking about a team that has won 8 or 9 of its last 10 games – and it deserves it.
Given Toronto’s dominance with full force and the fact that Tampa B is playing its third game in four nights, I think the cards will win the game five to five.
While the goalkeeper is a great draw and Lightning is definitely a better starter, it is worth noting that Andrei Vasilowski has had some problems in the last few months.
He has appeared in 16 of Tampa’s last 20 games, recording 0.911 total saves and 0.793 against high-risk shots. The former connects him with Martin Jones, while the latter corresponds to Craig Anderson. Not what you expect.
Vasilevskiy is quite capable of stealing games every night, but his recent game makes me doubt it against the hot Maple Leafs team.
Condition: Maple leaf (+115)
Todd Cordell is a sports betting writer on theScore. Be sure to follow him on Twitter @ToddCordell.